US recession 40% likely in 2025, what it means for crypto — Analyst

Mar 30 2025 crypto


Coin Bureau founder Nic Puckrin said he expects two 25 basis point rate cuts from the Federal Reserve in 2025 and no quantitative easing.

The United States has a 40% chance of a recession in 2025 amid the potential for a protracted trade war and macroeconomic uncertainty, according to market analyst and Coin Bureau founder Nic Puckrin.

In an interview with Cointelegraph, the analyst said that while a recession is not probable, a recession and the current macroeconomic uncertainty will create an environment where risk-on assets like cryptocurrencies suffer. Puckrin said:

The analyst noted that while US President Donald Trump is not deliberately trying to trigger a recession, certain actions by his administration — such as cutting federal jobs and reducing spending to balance the budget — could unintentionally lead to one.

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